Buckley Town vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
11º
8º
23
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 1
BUC
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 0
LLA
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
BUC
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
RTW
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 1
BUC
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
COL
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
LLA
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |