Buckie Thistle vs Turriff United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
7º
30
5º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 68 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 61 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 58 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 56 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 54 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 42 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 26 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 18 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 14 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 3
BUC
4%
10%
86%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 1
BAN
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CLA
0 - 2
BUC
4%
10%
86%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 2
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
8 - 2
STR
91%
7%
2%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
DEV
79%
13%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 3
HUN
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
FRA
11%
18%
71%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INV
4 - 0
TUR
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
NAI
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |