Buckie Thistle vs Forres Mechanics analysis

Buckie Thistle Forres Mechanics
53 ELO 32
16.5% Tilt 33%
2867º General ELO ranking 6330º
37º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
86.3%
Buckie Thistle
9.8%
Draw
3.9%
Forres Mechanics

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
Buckie Thistle
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.9%
Win probability
Forres Mechanics
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Buckie Thistle
-31%
-14%
Forres Mechanics

Points and table prediction

Buckie Thistle
Their league position
Forres Mechanics
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
36
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Buckie Thistle
Forres Mechanics
Play-offs for the title
78.5% 0%
Mid-table
21.5% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Buckie Thistle
Forres Mechanics
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Buckie Thistle
Buckie Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
BUC
Buckie Thistle
1 - 3
Broomhill FC
BFC
79%
13%
8%
53 39 14 0
15 Oct. 2022
ROT
Rothes
2 - 4
Buckie Thistle
BUC
11%
16%
74%
53 38 15 0
08 Oct. 2022
BUC
Buckie Thistle
2 - 2
Banks O' Dee
BAN
74%
16%
11%
53 45 8 0
05 Oct. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
1 - 4
Buckie Thistle
BUC
5%
11%
84%
53 25 28 0
01 Oct. 2022
BUC
Buckie Thistle
7 - 1
Turriff United
TUR
89%
8%
3%
53 25 28 0

Matches

Forres Mechanics
Forres Mechanics
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
BRO
Brora Rangers
4 - 1
Forres Mechanics
FOR
82%
12%
6%
33 51 18 0
15 Oct. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
4 - 1
Deveronvale
DEV
77%
14%
9%
33 20 13 0
08 Oct. 2022
FOR
Formartine United
2 - 0
Forres Mechanics
FOR
80%
13%
7%
33 45 12 0
05 Oct. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
4 - 2
Wick Academy
WIC
55%
21%
25%
32 28 4 +1
01 Oct. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
4 - 3
Rothes
ROT
26%
22%
53%
30 39 9 +2