Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Buckie Thistle vs Annan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
BUC
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 4
THE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
THE
1 - 1
BUC
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
PET
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 0
GLA
7%
18%
75%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CLY
2 - 1
BLA
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
BLA
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 2
BER
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |