Buchonia Flieden vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ESC
1 - 3
BUC
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
BUC
1 - 2
FRA
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
KKA
1 - 0
BUC
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BUC
1 - 1
VEL
24%
25%
52%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
VIK
0 - 0
BUC
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 0
SGH
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
FSV
5 - 2
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
FVB
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BUR
0 - 4
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 0
BAU
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |