Buchonia Flieden vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 1
BUC
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 2
BRA
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 0
BUC
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
4 - 0
JUG
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LOH
5 - 0
BUC
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
FER
16%
22%
63%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
JUG
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 7
FER
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
EIN
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
2 - 1
FER
21%
24%
54%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |