TSV Buchholz 08 vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
57.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
8º
18º
14º
54
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
EIM
1 - 1
BUC
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 4
DAS
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 2
BUC
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 1
BUC
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 3
NIE
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
WAN
3 - 0
HAM
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 1
NIE
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 3
WAN
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
0 - 1
SAS
17%
19%
63%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |