TSV Buchholz 08 vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
8º
18º
14º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 2
BUC
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 0
HAM
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
OSD
0 - 2
BUC
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALT
31%
23%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 0
BUC
61%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 4
SAS
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 4
SAS
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NIE
3 - 1
SAS
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 1
PAL
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 6
SAS
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |