TSV Buchholz 08 vs ETSV Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
11º
11º
40
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 85 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 77 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 76 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 53 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 45 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 38 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 6
BUC
27%
20%
53%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
HAL
49%
21%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DAS
4 - 0
BUC
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
WAN
66%
17%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 4
BUC
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
9 - 1
VOW
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 6
ETH
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
7 - 0
THA
67%
17%
16%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 4
ETH
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 0
HEB
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |