Buchbach vs SV Wacker Burghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
15º
14º
19
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
BUC
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
TAM
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
BUC
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SV Wacker Burghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
4 - 1
HAH
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 1
WAC
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
WAC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
WUR
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |