Buchbach vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 0
BUC
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 0
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 0
BUC
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BUC
3 - 2
SCH
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 0
BUC
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 1
VRG
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 0
VRG
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VRG
2 - 2
SCH
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 4
VRG
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 4
SCH
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |