Buchbach vs Türkgücü München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
15º
14º
2
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
17 | 70 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 70 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 63 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 60 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 58 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 58 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 51 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 48 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 39 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 39 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 35 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 30 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
2 | 19 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
BUC
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 0
BUC
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Türkgücü München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
HAH
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
AUG
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
TAM
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |