Buchbach vs Schweinfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RAI
0 - 2
BUC
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 1
BAD
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ERB
3 - 2
BUC
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BUC
3 - 0
SEL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TSG
0 - 0
BUC
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 2
FRO
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
WUR
0 - 0
SCH
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 4
ISM
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BAY
3 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 1
SCH
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |