Buchbach vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 3
JAB
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
EIN
2 - 4
BUC
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BUC
3 - 1
SEL
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ILL
2 - 3
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 1
ING
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
EIC
1 - 2
RAI
18%
22%
61%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
RAI
4 - 1
UNT
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 3
RAI
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 2
RAI
20%
21%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 2
FCP
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |