Buchbach vs Ismaning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 1
FRO
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
BUC
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 2
MEM
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GRO
3 - 1
BUC
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
RAI
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ERB
1 - 1
ISM
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 1
BAD
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 1
ISM
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ISM
3 - 0
BAY
31%
26%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
UNT
1 - 0
ISM
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |