Buchbach vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 0
WEI
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 2
BUC
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 2
ANS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAY
3 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BUC
0 - 0
FRO
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ING
1 - 1
ANS
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
TSV
2 - 0
ING
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ING
1 - 1
FRO
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WUR
1 - 2
ING
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ING
1 - 3
ISM
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |