Buchbach vs Freier TuS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ING
1 - 1
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
HEI
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 0
BUC
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
UNT
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EIN
3 - 0
BUC
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Freier TuS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
FTR
1 - 2
WUR
20%
23%
58%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 2
FTR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FTR
1 - 3
ISM
12%
18%
71%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 3
FTR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 0
FTR
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |