Buchbach vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
MEM
0 - 0
BUC
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 0
BUC
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
TSV
5 - 0
BUC
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 0
TSG
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
3 - 1
BUC
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ERB
2 - 2
FRO
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 1
ERB
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ERB
3 - 0
ISM
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
TSG
2 - 1
ERB
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 4
ERB
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |