Buchbach vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AUG
3 - 3
BUC
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BAY
3 - 0
BUC
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SSV
3 - 1
BUC
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
3 - 2
ING
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AMB
2 - 0
186
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 0
AMB
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 2
ILL
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 0
AMB
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AUG
2 - 2
AMB
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |