Buchbach vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 0
BUC
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 1
HEI
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 1
BUC
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
AUG
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 3
BUC
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
186
3 - 2
ING
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
186
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
186
2 - 1
NUR
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
186
20%
23%
58%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
186
1 - 0
WUR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |