Bubendorf vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
13º
12º
50
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 2
BUB
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUB
4 - 3
REG
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 0
BUB
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BUB
1 - 3
PRA
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
5 - 0
BUB
79%
13%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RSZ
0 - 1
ZOF
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 1
RSZ
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RSZ
2 - 1
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
RSZ
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSZ
1 - 1
PRA
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |