Bubendorf vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
66.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
16º
15º
56
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BUB
2 - 2
GUM
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 4
FCA
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 4
BUB
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 3
FCU
46%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 0
BUB
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 2
BBB
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 1
OLD
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
PRA
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 0
OLD
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
GUM
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |