Bubendorf vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
72.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
13º
12º
57
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZOF
3 - 0
BUB
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BUB
1 - 3
RSZ
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 2
BUB
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUB
4 - 3
REG
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 0
BUB
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
4 - 2
ZOF
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RSZ
1 - 3
MUT
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 0
MUT
90%
7%
4%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REG
1 - 3
MUT
14%
16%
70%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 1
DIE
32%
22%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |