BTS Neustadt vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
16º
11º
17
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 2
OBE
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAB
1 - 3
BTN
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
2 - 1
SGA
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 0
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
5 - 1
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
VAB
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 3
VAT
79%
12%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
0 - 4
GEE
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 2
VAT
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
EHB
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |