BTS Neustadt vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
16º
11º
27
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WER
1 - 2
BTN
35%
21%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BTN
2 - 1
HAB
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 2
BTN
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BTN
5 - 2
VAT
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 2
OBE
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
8 - 2
VAB
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
SGA
40%
21%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 5
GEE
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
5 - 2
UNI
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
EHB
64%
18%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |