BTS Neustadt vs TuRa Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
16º
11º
18
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
6 - 0
BTN
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 4
BTN
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 2
WER
8%
14%
79%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 4
BTN
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BTN
2 - 3
WOL
59%
19%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
4 - 0
VAB
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 5
BLU
47%
21%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 4
WOL
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 2
TRB
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |