BSV Rehden vs MTV Eintracht Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
18º
8º
24
1º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Rehden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 2
HSC
49%
23%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ADF
5 - 1
BSV
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BWL
2 - 4
BSV
49%
23%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WER
4 - 2
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
MTV Eintracht Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
3 - 2
ADF
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EIB
0 - 2
MEC
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
STE
2 - 4
MEC
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUP
3 - 1
MEC
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MEC
4 - 2
ROT
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |