BSV Kickers Emden vs Havelse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
5º
50
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 94% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Kickers Emden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
3 - 1
BSV
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
JED
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BSV
0 - 1
DRO
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 3
BSV
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Havelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 1
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
OTT
3 - 0
HAV
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
4 - 0
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 2
HAV
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |