BSV Kickers Emden vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Kickers Emden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BSV
3 - 2
FCU
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
OFC
0 - 0
BSV
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
BSV
2 - 1
STU
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BAY
4 - 0
BSV
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BSV
1 - 1
WAC
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 1
RTV
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HSV
0 - 1
KOL
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 2
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HOF
2 - 0
KOL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 0
BRE
19%
22%
60%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |