BSV Hürtürkel vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Hürtürkel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
STR
4 - 0
BSV
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BSV
1 - 0
NEU
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BSC
0 - 2
BSV
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BSV
3 - 3
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POM
1 - 0
BSV
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ALT
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 0
LUC
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 2
BFC
25%
24%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 2
STR
66%
18%
17%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 4
LUC
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |