Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
13º
4º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mahlsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
BAB
4 - 0
MAH
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TEN
2 - 2
MAH
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAH
4 - 0
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
RFC
2 - 1
MAH
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 3
PRE
22%
20%
59%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 0
OPT
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TEN
4 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
DSC
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +4 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SVS
5 - 0
LIC
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |