Mahlsdorf vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
13º
4º
28
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mahlsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 1
MAH
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HZE
4 - 1
MAH
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TUM
0 - 3
MAH
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAH
4 - 1
NEU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 3
MAH
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DSC
3 - 1
TEN
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 1
RFC
38%
22%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
DSC
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RSV
3 - 0
DSC
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DSC
3 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |