BSG Wismut Aue vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CHE
2 - 1
BWA
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
SST
1 - 0
BWA
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
BWA
1 - 1
CZJ
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
BFC
5 - 1
BWA
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
BWA
2 - 2
ROS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ZWI
2 - 2
SST
56%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
CHE
5 - 1
ZWI
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
HAL
0 - 0
ZWI
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
ZWI
1 - 1
ERF
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
VOW
5 - 0
ZWI
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |