BSG Wismut Aue vs FC Vorwärts Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BFC
0 - 1
BWA
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BWA
2 - 4
HAL
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
MAG
0 - 0
BWA
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BWA
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
BWA
1 - 1
SED
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vorwärts Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CZJ
1 - 0
VOW
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
VOW
3 - 0
LAS
80%
13%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
HAL
3 - 1
VOW
29%
24%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ERF
2 - 1
VOW
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
VOW
2 - 2
LOK
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |