BSG Wismut Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BFM
3 - 3
BWA
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BWA
6 - 2
LOK
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
HAL
5 - 1
BWA
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BWA
4 - 0
LAS
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BAB
2 - 0
BWA
60%
18%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SGD
1 - 3
BFM
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LOK
2 - 3
SGD
32%
22%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SGD
3 - 0
HAL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
LAS
3 - 3
SGD
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SGD
0 - 0
BAB
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |