BSG Wismut Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
SED
2 - 0
BWA
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
SVL
4 - 2
BWA
38%
22%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
BWA
2 - 0
BSS
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CZJ
1 - 2
BWA
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SVD
1 - 1
BWA
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SGD
0 - 0
ABS
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
BAB
2 - 2
SGD
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERF
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
2 - 1
SGD
51%
21%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SED
0 - 2
SGD
50%
22%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |