BSG Wismut Aue vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
HAL
2 - 1
BWA
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
BWA
2 - 1
BFM
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
3 - 1
ABS
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
VOW
3 - 2
BWA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
1 - 0
BFC
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
SAC
1 - 1
VOW
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
SAC
0 - 2
LOK
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SAC
4 - 3
ABS
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ERF
0 - 0
SAC
61%
19%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
SAC
6 - 2
CHE
89%
8%
3%
|
80 | 34 | 46 | +1 |