BSG Wismut Aue vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
BWA
4 - 0
LAS
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ROS
3 - 0
BWA
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SED
1 - 2
BWA
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
BWA
0 - 5
VOW
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
BCZ
4 - 2
BWA
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 2
BFC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SAC
2 - 0
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 2
VOW
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ERF
3 - 2
VOW
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERF
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |