BSG Wismut Aue vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
ROS
0 - 0
BWA
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
BWA
2 - 1
BFW
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
ABS
1 - 2
BWA
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
BWA
2 - 1
VOW
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ZWI
0 - 2
BWA
41%
25%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
ERF
2 - 0
ZWI
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
BCZ
3 - 2
ERF
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
ERF
1 - 0
LAS
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERF
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ERF
2 - 0
SED
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |