BSG Wismut Aue vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
LAS
2 - 1
BWA
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BWA
3 - 0
BFW
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BAB
1 - 1
BWA
43%
23%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
BWA
2 - 1
ZWI
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BWA
1 - 0
LOK
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ERF
2 - 0
SAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
HAL
3 - 4
ERF
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERF
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ERF
1 - 1
CZJ
75%
14%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
2 - 3
VOW
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |