BSG Wismut Aue vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
1 - 1
BWA
12%
19%
70%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
BWA
5 - 0
ROS
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SED
3 - 1
BWA
57%
20%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
BWA
3 - 0
BAB
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 0
BWA
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 2
VOW
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
BFC
2 - 0
ERF
31%
23%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
0 - 2
ERF
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
ERF
0 - 2
ABS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 0
BWA
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |