BSG Wismut Aue vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
BWA
2 - 1
SED
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ABS
3 - 0
BWA
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
CZJ
0 - 1
BWA
42%
25%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1960 |
BWA
0 - 2
HAL
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
BWA
3 - 0
BFW
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
LOK
2 - 3
ZWI
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
LOK
3 - 1
BFW
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
LOK
3 - 0
ROS
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1960 |
BFC
4 - 0
LOK
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1960 |
LOK
4 - 1
HAL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |