BSG Wismut Aue vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
BFM
1 - 2
BWA
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
BWA
2 - 0
CHE
94%
5%
1%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
BAB
3 - 1
BWA
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
BWA
3 - 0
HAL
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
SAC
2 - 2
BWA
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
LOK
0 - 2
VOW
41%
23%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
LOK
1 - 1
SAC
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
BFC
6 - 4
LOK
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
LOK
2 - 0
BFM
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
HAL
1 - 0
LOK
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |