BSG Wismut Aue vs Hansa Rostock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1986 |
MAG
6 - 0
BWA
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
BWA
2 - 1
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BWA
2 - 0
ZWI
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
BWA
3 - 0
FCU
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BSG
0 - 0
BWA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1986 |
ROS
2 - 0
FCU
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
BSG
4 - 0
ROS
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
ROS
0 - 0
CZJ
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
FVF
0 - 0
ROS
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
ROS
0 - 3
ZWI
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |