BSG Wismut Aue vs Hansa Rostock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
BSG
4 - 0
BWA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
BWA
0 - 1
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
ZWI
1 - 2
BWA
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 1
FCU
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
CZJ
3 - 2
BWA
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
ROS
2 - 2
HAL
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
CHE
3 - 0
ROS
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
ROS
2 - 2
BCB
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SGD
1 - 0
ROS
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
ROS
1 - 3
MAG
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |