BSG Wismut Aue vs FC Vorwärts Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
BSG
0 - 0
BWA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
BWA
1 - 1
BFC
17%
21%
63%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
BWA
3 - 1
ROS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
ERF
1 - 0
BWA
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
LOK
3 - 0
BWA
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
FC Vorwärts Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
FVF
3 - 2
LOK
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
HAL
0 - 0
FVF
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
SGD
2 - 1
FVF
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
FVF
4 - 1
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
MAG
4 - 1
FVF
60%
21%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |