BSG Wismut Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
LOK
1 - 0
BWA
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
BWA
2 - 0
BSV
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
FCU
0 - 0
BWA
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1986 |
BWA
2 - 0
BSG
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
SGD
4 - 1
BWA
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
CZJ
3 - 1
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
BSG
1 - 2
CZJ
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
SGD
1 - 1
CZJ
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1986 |
CZJ
1 - 2
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
FVF
0 - 0
CZJ
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |