BSG Wismut Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
ERF
2 - 2
BWA
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FVF
4 - 1
BWA
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
BWA
0 - 0
SGD
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
BWA
0 - 0
ERF
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
FVF
3 - 0
BWA
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
FVF
4 - 1
CZJ
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
CZJ
2 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
BCB
0 - 2
CZJ
29%
24%
48%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
CZJ
1 - 2
HAL
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
SVM
0 - 3
CZJ
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |