BSG Wismut Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BWA
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
BWA
4 - 2
SVM
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BWA
2 - 1
MAG
20%
24%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
FVF
5 - 1
BWA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
BWA
0 - 2
LOK
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 2
CZJ
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
CZJ
6 - 0
ZWI
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BFC
2 - 1
CZJ
72%
16%
11%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
CZJ
3 - 1
BCB
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
ROS
1 - 3
CZJ
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |