BSG Wismut Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
ERF
1 - 3
BWA
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
BWA
6 - 0
SED
73%
15%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
BAB
1 - 1
BWA
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ABS
1 - 0
BWA
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
BWA
1 - 3
SAC
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CZJ
3 - 1
SAC
43%
24%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
HAL
1 - 1
CZJ
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CZJ
1 - 2
BFC
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ZWI
3 - 0
CZJ
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
HAL
0 - 2
CZJ
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |